Ball St
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 85.8084Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 907 H Missouri St 42-34 914 A Miami ACC (10- 2, 96.6) 0-62 921 A Cen Michigan MA ( 4- 8, 86.0) 34-37 928 A J Madison SUN ( 8- 4, 92.3) 7-63 1005 H We Michigan MA ( 6- 6, 88.9) 42-45 1012 A Kent State MA ( 0-12, 81.6) 37-35 1019 A Vanderbilt SEC ( 6- 6, 94.0) 14-24 1026 H No Illinois MA ( 7- 5, 90.1) 25-23 1105 H MiamiOH MA ( 8- 5, 90.3) 21-27 1112 A Buffalo MA ( 8- 4, 89.7) 48-51 1123 H Bowl. Green MA ( 7- 5, 90.0) 13-38 1129 A Ohio MA (10- 3, 91.4) 21-42
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
914 A Miami 0-62 -62 -12 0.00
921 A Cen Michigan 34-37 -3 -1 -1.93
928 A J Madison 7-63 -56 -7 0.00
1005 H We Michigan 42-45 -3 -2 -0.82
1012 A Kent State 37-35 2 3 -1.26
1019 A Vanderbilt 14-24 -10 -9 0.00
1026 H No Illinois 25-23 2 -3 ++ 5.35
1105 H MiamiOH 21-27 -6 -4 -1.38
1112 A Buffalo 48-51 -3 -5 1.78
1123 H Bowl. Green 13-38 -25 -3 -1.76
1129 A Ohio 21-42 -21 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1026 H No Illinois 25-23 2 -3 ++ 5.35 |
Ball St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | California | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Florida St | Florida St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida St | |
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia Tech | |
| Louisville | Louisville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UNC | |
| NC St | NC St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Va Tech | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Charlotte | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Fla Atlantic | Fla Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | Rice | Rice | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Florida | |
| Temple | Temple | Temple | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| UAB | UAB | UAB | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn St | |
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Intl | Florida Intl | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Florida Intl | |
| Jacksonv. St | Jacksonv. St | Jacksonv. St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La Tech | La Tech | La Tech | ||
| Middle Tenn | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| NM St | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| SHouston St | SHouston St | SHouston St | ||
| UTEP | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| We Kentucky | We Kentucky | We Kentucky | ||
| UMass | Ball St | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Ball St | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | Akron | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) | Akron | |
| Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Ea Michigan | Ea Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Ea Michigan | |
| Kent State | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| MiamiOH | MiamiOH | MiamiOH | ||
| No Illinois | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | We Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | San Diego St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | San Diego St | |
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida | |
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Miss St | Ball St | Ball St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Tennessee | |
| Texas | Texas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | App St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | App St | |
| Arkansas State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coastal Car | |
| Georgia So | Georgia So | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia So | |
| Georgia St | Georgia St | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Georgia St | |
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Old Dominion | |
| So Miss | Ball St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball St | |
| So Alabama | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| La-Monroe | La-Monroe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | La-Monroe |
PowerWise = 10
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Miami (10- 2, 96.6) 0-62 -3.29 14.97 0.91 1.10 -2.62
0 A Cen Michigan ( 4- 8, 86.0) 34-37 -13.92 4.33 0.91 1.10 -14.33
0 A J Madison ( 8- 4, 92.3) 7-63 -7.59 10.67 0.91 1.10 -7.35
0 H We Michigan ( 6- 6, 88.9) 42-45 -11.01 7.25 -0.91 1.10 -13.11
0 A Kent State ( 0-12, 81.6) 37-35 -18.26 1.00 0.91 1.10 2.10
0 A Vanderbilt ( 6- 6, 94.0) 14-24 -5.90 12.35 0.91 1.10 -5.50
0 H No Illinois ( 7- 5, 90.1) 25-23 -9.83 8.42 -0.91 1.10 8.27
0 H MiamiOH ( 8- 5, 90.3) 21-27 -9.57 8.69 -0.91 1.10 -11.52
0 A Buffalo ( 8- 4, 89.7) 48-51 -10.21 8.04 0.91 1.10 -10.24
0 H Bowl. Green ( 7- 5, 90.0) 13-38 -9.94 8.31 -0.91 1.10 -11.94
0 A Ohio (10- 3, 91.4) 21-42 -8.48 9.78 0.91 1.10 -8.33
------
-74.58
|
winning pts = 10.3668 losing points = -84.9508
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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